THE FLAMINGO PROJECT
Texas K-12
Bond Market
Analysis
256 districts in the active planning window. 7 regions mapped against population growth, kindergarten pipeline, housing formation, and bond history. Everything an AEC firm needs to stop guessing and start pursuing.
Districts in planning window
256
Defined as 7+ from last bond
Bond elections tracked
4776
ISDs statewide, 2010–2026
k12 Bond elections tracked
6x
+4.12% TX vs +0.67% national avg
MUDs Analyzed
828
$132B in residential development pipeline
What’s Included
Three deliverables. One complete picture.
Every deliverable is built from the Flamingo Project Texas Bond Tracking Database filtered to design and construction bonds only.
Market Narrative
19-page written analysis covering methodology, 7-region opportunity, kindergarten pipeline with national benchmarks, bond election outcomes, and MUD development indicators.
Includes: 7 regional analyses · Growth & decline tables · Pass rate by proposition type
Bond Opportunity Scorecard
District-by-district planning tool for all 256 districts in the 7+ year window. Sorted to surface the strongest targets first.
Includes: Flamingo Assessment™ per district · Pipeline signals · Bond history tags
Full Bond Database
Complete Excel database of 4,766 ISD and 828 MUD bond elections with regional assignments, and demographic enrichment.
Includes: Excel database
From the Analysis
“Texas sits in a category occupied by very few large states. Its combination of absolute pipeline size and above-national growth rate makes it structurally distinct from almost every other K-12 market in the country.”
Statewide Bond Pass Rate 2010–2023
Standalone Athletic Bond Pass Rate
Billion in MUD Bond Pipeline
Pass Rate for Proposition 4 Elections
Seven Regions
Every market. Different pursuit model.
The analysis covers all seven Texas K-12 regions with a distinct characterization of the opportunity, demographic drivers, and recommended stance for firms who do not have existing relationships in the region. The recommendations change for every firm!
North Texas
46
districts in window
Primary Target
Houston
27
districts in window
Primary Target
CenTex / Austin
25
districts in window
Primary Target
San Antonio
21
districts in window
Secondary Target
West Texas / Permian Basin
74
districts in window
Selective
East Texas
45
districts in window
Selective
Valley / South Texas
18
districts in window
Consolidation
Built for the people who make pursuit decisions.
Sector Leaders
Understand where the Texas K-12 market is going and how to position your practice ahead of the next bond cycle.
Officer Leaders
Make resource allocation decisions with confidence — which regions to invest in, which to monitor, which to pass on.
Business Development
Walk into planning window districts with demographic context, bond history, and a clear read on whether the pursuit is worth the investment.
The report is the starting point. We help you apply it.
The Flamingo Project provides strategic growth advisory for AEC firms. The analysis tells you who is in the window — we help you figure out which ones are worth pursuing.
- Firm-specific market positioning and BD strategy
- Regional entry planning for firms without existing presence
- District-level intelligence and relationship mapping
- Pursuit prioritization and pipeline review
Get the Report
Know the market before
your competition does.
Request the full report package — narrative, scorecard, and database — or start a conversation about how The Flamingo Project can help your firm develop a Texas K-12 strategy.
We respond within one business day. No automated sequences. A real conversation with someone who knows the data.